F. Scott Fitzgerald wasn't entirely right. The very rich are different from you and me—but not by much.
A new study
offers a comprehensive look at the portfolios and investment decisions
of several hundred of the wealthiest families in the U.S. Every
investor, rich or otherwise, can learn from how these people make the
most of their advantages—and from how they mess up.
These
households, with an average net worth of roughly $90 million, invest
intelligently, for the most part, spreading their bets widely, seldom
trading and keeping their investing taxes to a minimum.
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But
the superrich also commit rookie mistakes. Their approach to
diversification might not always be ideal. They chase investment fads
like dogs chasing parked cars. They freeze with fear just when bravery
is most likely to be rewarded. Maybe the "smart money" isn't so
different from the middle-class "dumb money" that Wall Street likes to
mock.
Three economists—Enrichetta Ravina of Columbia Business
School, Luis Viceira of Harvard Business School and Ingo Walter of New
York University's Stern School of Business—analyzed the holdings and
trades of more than 260 ultrawealthy families between 2000 and 2009. The
data came from an unnamed private company that consolidates account
information for the wealthy.
What have these rich investors gotten right?
First,
they made the most of their "comparative advantages," or their unique
strengths: They have access to privileged investments and can afford to
tie up lots of money for a long time. The ultrawealthy keep about 20% of
their assets in hedge funds and various forms of private equity, much
of it in "angel investments," or fledgling companies to which they
supply both capital and management advice in exchange for potentially
higher returns.
And the wealthiest "don't turn over their
portfolios too much," says Ms. Ravina, who led the study. They rarely
trade, although they are more willing than regular investors to realize
losses for tax purposes.
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Perhaps that's because, with an average of six advisers apiece, they always have someone else to blame for the loss, making them less reluctant to admit a mistake.
The rich don't do everything right, however.
In
early 2001, these wealthy families had a paltry 0.01% of their total
wealth in the complex instruments known as mortgage-backed securities.
But the rich "were chasing returns, and mortgage-backed securities
seemed to be successful at the time, so they got into them," says Ms.
Ravina.
By spring 2007, mortgage-backed securities accounted for
more than 2.3% of the families' total wealth. Some of these trendy
investments turned out to be risky. The Barclays CMBS 7+ index, a
measure of one segment of that market, lost 36% in 2008.
"It's
dangerous to follow fashion if you can't reverse in time when the
fashion changes," says Ms. Ravina. By early 2009, the wealthy families
had only 0.6% left in these securities.
The typical portfolio in
the study contains nearly 120 individual stocks, plus two dozen mutual
funds, exchange-traded funds and the like. Ms. Ravina believes that by
holding so many positions, the wealthy get the flexibility to realize
gains and losses, thereby minimizing tax bills.
But it's also
possible that by owning so many securities, the rich incur excess
cost—and fritter away some of the information advantage they could
obtain through their social and business networks.
They might be
better off putting most of their money into an index fund that holds all
the companies in a broad market average and the rest into a handful of
companies they know well.
The rich do rebalance, trimming from
assets that have risen and adding to those that have fallen. But they
aren't consistent enough.
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The
wealthy "are good at rebalancing when it is easy, but they didn't do it
when it was hard," says Ms. Ravina. "They are human, like all of us.
During the financial crisis, most of them were just paralyzed."
The
total stock portfolio held by the rich families fell from $8 billion in
mid-2008 to $3 billion in March 2009—considerably worse than the 36%
decline in the overall stock market over the same period.
Had
they sold some bonds and other assets to buy stocks as the market fell,
the families would have been richer by a total of more than $500 million
by March 2009, estimates Ms. Ravina.
You, too, should think
about what your comparative advantage is as an investor. Most
individuals aren't likely to have an edge in trying to beat Wall Street
at its own game of fast trading and constant measurement of returns
relative to a market index.
You're better off doing what Wall Street can't:
cultivating patience, trading as seldom as possible, focusing only on
those rare companies where you might know something everyone else
doesn't and, finally, rebalancing when it is hardest.
Right now, that might mean trimming stocks a bit just as other people are most tempted to add to them.
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